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Warta Gorzow vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ufir D.
74' Event
Majerczyk P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 game between Warta Gorzow and Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Gorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Warta Gorzow
6%
Draws
4%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Warta Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Warta Gorzow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Warta Gorzow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Warta Gorzow have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 19%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:0
Sep 2, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Warta Gorzow
0:3
May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:0
Oct 1, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Warta Gorzow
1:2
May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Warta Gorzow
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Ufir D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Majerczyk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 85 / 100
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Gorzow found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Warta Gorzow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rekord Bielsko-Biala34236584:3775
2Slask Wroclaw II342110376:3273
3Kluczbork34179855:3860
4Polkowice341681056:4956
5Pniowek Pawlowice341413759:5155
6Goczalkowice Zdroj3412111150:3847
7Gornik Zabrze II341451554:5447
8Sleza Wroclaw341291360:6245
9Stilon Gorzow341291351:4945
10Zielona Gora341271547:5743
11Carina Gubin341261648:5542
12Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341181541:5341
13Bytom Odrzanski349141139:4241
14Unia Turza Slaska341181550:5641
15Warta Gorzow349121342:5839
16Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory34891744:5833
17RKS Rakow Czestochowa II34881843:6632
18Starowice Dolne34582136:8023