Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Gorzow vs Skra Czestochowa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rybicki K.
30'
Zielinski B.
38' Event
Rybicki K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Warta Gorzow and Skra Czestochowa finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Gorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Warta Gorzow
22%
Draws
60%
Skra Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Skra Czestochowa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Skra Czestochowa a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 17%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Skra Czestochowa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Skra Czestochowa
5:0
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Warta Gorzow
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybicki K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaczmarek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 20 / 100
Skra Czestochowa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Skra Czestochowa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Gorzow scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Skra Czestochowa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Warta Gorzow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS Skra Czestochowa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057