Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Gorzow vs Zaglebie II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Nowogonski D.
66' Event
Kosmalski P.

AI Match Summary

Zaglebie II in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaglebie II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Warta Gorzow
35%
Draws
45%
Zaglebie II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zaglebie II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zaglebie II lately — more wins on the board than Warta Gorzow.
  • Model gives Zaglebie II a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zaglebie II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 11%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Gorzow Zaglebie II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Zaglebie II
0:2
May 15, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Zaglebie II
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Warta Gorzow
3:0
May 7, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Zaglebie II
1:0
Oct 2, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Warta Gorzow
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Gorzow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowogonski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosmalski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Gorzow 27 / 100
Zaglebie II 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Gorzow Zaglebie II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Gorzow scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Zaglebie II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Warta Gorzow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warta Gorzow VS Zaglebie II
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Gorzow

(Home)
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
29 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 2
Zaglebie II
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Zaglebie II

(Away)
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
05 Sept
Zaglebie II
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
29 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 2
Zaglebie II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 10 7 2 1 18:6 23
2 Bytom Odrzanski 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
3 Zaglebie II 10 6 4 0 22:12 22
4 Barycz Sulow 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
7 Polkowice 10 4 2 4 18:17 14
8 ROW Rybnik 10 4 2 4 22:18 14
9 Stilon Gorzow 10 3 4 3 17:14 13
10 Warta Gorzow 10 3 4 3 10:16 13
11 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
12 Legnica II 10 3 2 5 23:20 11
13 Brzeg 10 3 2 5 18:16 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Polonia Nysa 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
17 Sleza Wroclaw 10 2 1 7 15:26 7
18 Carina Gubin 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)