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Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej, Poznań
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Poznan host LKS Lodz in the Division 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Warta Poznan have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against LKS Lodz's 1.48 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Warta Poznan have won 1 to LKS Lodz's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.25) point toward LKS Lodz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Warta Poznan
15%
Draws
31%
LKS Lodz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Warta Poznan have won more games recently than LKS Lodz.
  • Model gives Warta Poznan a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and LKS Lodz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 19%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan LKS Lodz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Warta Poznan
3:1
Aug 20, 2024 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz
2:4
Mar 11, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz
0:1
Sep 1, 2023 Ekstraklasa
LKS Lodz vs Warta Poznan
0:2
Jul 3, 2019 Club Friendly
LKS Lodz vs Warta Poznan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 85 / 100
LKS Lodz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan LKS Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

LKS Lodz has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Warta Poznan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS LKS Lodz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Poznan

(Home)
16 Oct
Warta Poznan
1 : 0
Unia Skierniewice
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lodz

(Away)
18 Oct
LKS Lodz
1 : 0
Podbeskidzie
11 Oct
LKS Lodz
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)