Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Poznan vs Podbeskidzie

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej, Poznań
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Lepczynski K.
25' Event
Biernat M.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Tomczyk O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Warta Poznan and Podbeskidzie finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podbeskidzie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Warta Poznan
22%
Draws
60%
Podbeskidzie
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Podbeskidzie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Podbeskidzie come out ahead of Warta Poznan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Podbeskidzie a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Podbeskidzie
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Podbeskidzie
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 2
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan
2:3
Mar 21, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Podbeskidzie
2:0
Oct 19, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Mar 9, 2020 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefaniak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Podbeskidzie Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomczyk O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 18 / 100
Podbeskidzie 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Podbeskidzie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PBB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Podbeskidzie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Podbeskidzie
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Poznan

(Home)
24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
3 : 4
Polkowice
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
11 Jul
Chrobry Glogow
3 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1
Warta Poznan
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Podbeskidzie

(Away)
27 Jul
Legnica
1 : 1
Podbeskidzie
18 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 1
Podbeskidzie
12 Jul
Wisla
0 : 1
Podbeskidzie
07 Jul
Podbeskidzie
2 : 1
Ostrava B
04 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 2
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)