Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Wojtyra K.
46'
Sub
Avdeev D. In: Lepczynski K.
Out: Avdeev D.
46'
Sub
Stefaniak M. In: Zalewski S.
Out: Stefaniak M.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Bytom in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Bytom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Warta Poznan
6%
Draws
90%
Polonia Bytom
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonia Bytom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Warta Poznan have won more games recently than Polonia Bytom.
  • Polonia Bytom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cup games in Polish Cup 2025/2026 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 11%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Polonia Bytom
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom
0:1
Mar 3, 2017 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Aug 13, 2016 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom
0:1
Apr 23, 2014 Division 2 - West
Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan
1:3
Sep 21, 2013 Division 2 - West
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Poznan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Polonia Bytom Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtyra K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 10 / 100
Polonia Bytom 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Polonia Bytom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Polonia Bytom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Warta Poznan has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Polonia Bytom
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza-
TBD-
TBD-
Tychy-
GKS Wikielec-
TBD-
Podbeskidzie2
R. Rzeszow1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg-
TBD-
Hutnik Krakow3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Bytom Odrzanski-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla-
Beskid Andrychow-
TBD-
Chojniczanka2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1
Legnica II-
TBD-
Swit Szczecin2
LKS Lodz II1
Malapanew Ozimek-
TBD-
TBD-
Pruszkow-
S. Rzeszow-
TBD-
TBD-
Korona Kielce-
LKS Lomza-
TBD-
TBD-
Odra Opole-
Korona Kielce II-
TBD-
TBD-
Piast Gliwice-
Gryf Slupsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Polonia Warszawa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec-
TBD-
TBD-
Puszcza-
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3
Wisla Pulawy0
TBD-
Lechia Gdansk-
Arka Gdynia-
TBD-
TBD-
Motor Lublin-
Legia II-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Avia Swidnik-
TBD-
TBD-
Ruch Chorzow-
Swinoujscie-
TBD-
KKS Kalisz0
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II-
TBD-
Stal Stalowa Wola3
Skra Czestochowa1
Warta Poznan1
Olimpia Elblag0
Polonia Bytom7
Zaglebie II1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-
TBD-
KS Wieczysta Krakow0
Ol. Grudziadz1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki-
TBD-
TBD-
Slask Wroclaw-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leczna-
TBD-
TBD-
Cracovia-
LKS Lodz-
TBD-
TBD-
Chrobry Glogow-
GKS Katowice-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla Plock-
Legnica-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Siedlce-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Szczecin-
Termalica Bruk-Bet-
TBD-
TBD-
Widzew Lodz-
Radomiak Radom-
TBD-
TBD-
Zaglebie-
1/32-finals
Zawisza2
Tychy0
GKS Wikielec2
Podbeskidzie1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0
Hutnik Krakow1
Bytom Odrzanski0
Wisla1
Beskid Andrychow0
Chojniczanka3
Legnica II1
Swit Szczecin3
Malapanew Ozimek1
Pruszkow2
S. Rzeszow0
Korona Kielce1
LKS Lomza0
Odra Opole2
Korona Kielce II0
Piast Gliwice1
Gryf Slupsk1
Polonia Warszawa0
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec1
Puszcza2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0
Lechia Gdansk1
Arka Gdynia1
Motor Lublin0
Legia II0
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik3
Ruch Chorzow1
Swinoujscie3
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II3
Stal Stalowa Wola1
Warta Poznan0
Polonia Bytom1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1
Ol. Grudziadz3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki1
Slask Wroclaw2
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Leczna1
Cracovia5
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
GKS Katowice4
Wisla Plock2
Legnica2
Pogon Siedlce0
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg0
Pogon Szczecin3
Termalica Bruk-Bet2
Widzew Lodz3
Radomiak Radom0
Zaglebie2
1/16-finals
Zawisza3
GKS Wikielec0
Hutnik Krakow0
Wisla1
Chojniczanka3
Swit Szczecin1
Pruszkow0
Korona Kielce3
Odra Opole0
Piast Gliwice2
Gryf Slupsk1
Lech Poznan2
Puszcza1
Lechia Gdansk3
Arka Gdynia1
Gornik Zabrze2
Avia Swidnik3
Swinoujscie0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II0
Polonia Bytom7
Ol. Grudziadz0
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa3
Cracovia0
LKS Lodz1
GKS Katowice2
Legnica2
Jagiellonia3
Legia1
Pogon Szczecin2
Widzew Lodz1
Zaglebie0
1/8-finals
Zawisza4
Wisla1
Chojniczanka2
Korona Kielce1
Piast Gliwice0
Lech Poznan2
Lechia Gdansk1
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik4
Polonia Bytom2
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice3
Jagiellonia1
Pogon Szczecin0
Widzew Lodz1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza2
Chojniczanka1
Lech Poznan0
Gornik Zabrze1
Avia Swidnik1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice2
Widzew Lodz1
Semi-finals
Zawisza0
Gornik Zabrze1
Rakow Czestochowa5
GKS Katowice4
Final
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow Czestochowa0