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Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warszawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej, Poznań
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Poznan host Polonia Warszawa in the Division 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Warta Poznan have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Polonia Warszawa's 1.48 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Warta Poznan have won 1 to Polonia Warszawa's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring Polonia Warszawa. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Warta Poznan
30%
Draws
43%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Warta Poznan haven't matched Polonia Warszawa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 18%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan
2:0
Mar 18, 2017 Division 2
Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan
1:1
Aug 24, 2016 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warszawa
1:0
Jul 5, 2011 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warszawa
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 32 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Polonia Warszawa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Warta Poznan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Polonia Warszawa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Poznan

(Home)
31 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Warta Poznan
26 Oct
Warta Poznan
0 : 1
LKS Lodz
16 Oct
Warta Poznan
1 : 0
Unia Skierniewice
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
02 Nov
LKS Lodz
1 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
29 Oct
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 1
Korona Kielce
23 Oct
Polonia Warszawa
1 : 1
Legnica
17 Oct
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Warszawa 13 6 4 3 20:15 22
2 Ruch Chorzow 13 6 4 3 17:12 22
3 Lechia Gdansk 13 7 1 5 25:21 22
4 LKS Lodz 13 6 4 3 16:12 22
5 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 13 6 3 4 19:12 21
6 Polonia Bytom 13 5 6 2 23:20 21
7 Termalica Bruk-Bet 13 6 3 4 20:18 21
8 Legnica 13 5 4 4 19:12 19
9 Warta Poznan 13 6 1 6 20:17 19
10 S. Rzeszow 13 5 3 5 18:24 18
11 Pogon Siedlce 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
12 Stal Mielec 13 4 4 5 17:27 16
13 Arka Gdynia 13 4 3 6 16:16 15
14 Podbeskidzie 13 2 9 2 16:17 15
15 Chrobry Glogow 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
16 Puszcza 13 4 1 8 15:19 13
17 Odra Opole 13 3 3 7 8:16 12
18 Unia Skierniewice 13 3 2 8 15:23 11
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)