Sport Picks
Warta Poznan vs Puszcza Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
Division 1 Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej, Poznań 
Match Events
7'
7'
Stefaniak M.
(Penalty)
12'
12'
Trubeha A.
35'
35'
Sub
Trubeha A. In: Kaminski W.
Out: Trubeha A.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Warta Poznan and Puszcza finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Poznan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warta Poznan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Puszcza have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Warta Poznan are scoring more at 1.71.
- Model gives Warta Poznan a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 20%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Poznan | Puszcza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Puszcza
3:2
May 12, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Puszcza vs Warta Poznan
1:0
Nov 10, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Puszcza
0:2
Jul 4, 2020 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Puszcza
1:2
Oct 22, 2019 Division 1
Puszcza vs Warta Poznan
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymanek K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Apolinarski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Puszcza Compare
Top Goalscorer Trubeha A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Przybylko K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Poznan 49 / 100
Puszcza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Poznan Puszcza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Warta Poznan scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Puszcza conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Warta Poznan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Warta Poznan VS Puszcza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Poznan
(Home) 03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
05 Aug
Warta Poznan
0 : 1 R. Rzeszow
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
3 : 4 Polkowice
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2 Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 3
Puszcza
(Away) 02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3 Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2 LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0 Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3 Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
17 Aug
Arka Gdynia
3 : 0 Puszcza
02 Aug
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Puszcza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
