Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej, Poznań
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Poznan host Unia Skierniewice in the Division 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Unia Skierniewice have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Warta Poznan have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, Warta Poznan have won 0 to Unia Skierniewice's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Unia Skierniewice. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Warta Poznan
15%
Draws
26%
Unia Skierniewice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice haven't matched Warta Poznan's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Warta Poznan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 19%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Unia Skierniewice
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice
0:2
Jul 27, 2025 Division 2
Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 85 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Unia Skierniewice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Unia Skierniewice let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Warta Poznan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Unia Skierniewice
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Poznan

(Home)
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

Unia Skierniewice

(Away)
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)