Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Poznan vs Zielona Gora

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wiecek D.
23' Event
Stefaniak M.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Debski D.

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Warta Poznan
39%
Draws
30%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zielona Gora have won more games recently than Warta Poznan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Warta Poznan here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Zielona Gora
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs Zielona Gora
1:2
May 3, 2014 Division 2 - West
Zielona Gora vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Oct 5, 2013 Division 2 - West
Warta Poznan vs Zielona Gora
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Poznan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiecek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Debski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 30 / 100
Zielona Gora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Zielona Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Zielona Gora has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Zielona Gora's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Zielona Gora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Poznan

(Home)
24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
3 : 4
Polkowice
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
11 Jul
Chrobry Glogow
3 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1
Warta Poznan
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Zielona Gora

(Away)
25 Jul
Zielona Gora
1 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
18 Jul
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legnica II
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Barycz Sulow
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
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