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Warta Poznan vs Zielona Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wiecek D.
23' Event
Stefaniak M.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Debski D.

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Warta Poznan
15%
Draws
34%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zielona Gora have won more games recently than Warta Poznan.
  • Model gives Warta Poznan a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Warta Poznan here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 18%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan Zielona Gora
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs Zielona Gora
1:2
May 3, 2014 Division 2 - West
Zielona Gora vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Oct 5, 2013 Division 2 - West
Warta Poznan vs Zielona Gora
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Poznan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiecek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Debski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 85 / 100
Zielona Gora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan Zielona Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Zielona Gora conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Warta Poznan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Poznan VS Zielona Gora
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Poznan

(Home)
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
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Zielona Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
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