Sport Picks
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
36'
36'
Polkowski D.
56'
56'
Ziarek A.
65'
65'
Trubnikov O.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Warta Sieradz and Jagiellonia II finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Jagiellonia II's 2 goals per match outpaces what Warta Sieradz have produced (1.93).
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Jagiellonia II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II
2:2
Apr 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II
3:3
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Trubnikov O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Krecichwost B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Polkowski D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ziarek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Sieradz 29 / 100
Jagiellonia II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Sieradz Jagiellonia II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Jagiellonia II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Warta Sieradz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Warta Sieradz VS Jagiellonia II
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Sieradz
(Home) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4
Jagiellonia II
(Away) 10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
23 Aug
KTS Weszlo
4 : 0 Jagiellonia II
15 Aug
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
