Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Warta Sieradz

3 - 3

Jagiellonia II

Our Tip

Match Events

Jakimiuk J.

26'

Jakimiuk J.

35'

Mielczarek P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Warta Sieradz

17%

Draws

13%

Jagiellonia II

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Jagiellonia II.
70% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 16%

Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Warta Sieradz	Jagiellonia II
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	17	14
Draws	7	6
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II

3:3

Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz

0:2

Apr 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz

1:1

Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II

2:1

Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mielczarek P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Murat J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakimiuk J.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 66 / 100

Jagiellonia II 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Warta Sieradz Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz scored in 100% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia II conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Jagiellonia II

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)

25 Jul

Warta Sieradz

3 : 0

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

17 Jul

Kluczbork

1 : 3

Warta Sieradz

15 Jul

Warta Sieradz

2 : 1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

11 Jul

Warta Sieradz

3 : 4

Elana Torun

08 Jul

Warta Sieradz

1 : 0

LKS Lodz II

Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia II

(Away)

25 Jul

Biala Podlaska

3 : 4

Jagiellonia II

11 Jul

KTS Weszlo

2 : 2

Jagiellonia II

30 May

Jagiellonia II

1 : 1

Wasilkow

23 May

GKS Belchatow

1 : 2

Jagiellonia II

17 May

Jagiellonia II

0 : 1

Troszyn

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15

Promotion - Division 2 (Main)

Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)