Sport Picks
Warta Sieradz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
72'
72'
Bieronski B.
90'
90'
Szyszkowski J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Warta Sieradz have won more games recently than Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Bieronski B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Szyszkowski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Sieradz 30 / 100
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Sieradz Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warta Sieradz's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warta Sieradz VS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Sieradz
(Home) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
(Away) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
