Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Swedrowski T.
31'
31'
Wierzba D.
Own Goal
45'
45'
Joao Criciuma
AI Match Summary
Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Olimpia Elblag.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Warta Sieradz here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 16%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Olimpia Elblag |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elblag
4:1
Mar 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elblag
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Warta Sieradz
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Swedrowski T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Krecichwost B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Criciuma
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Sieradz 84 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Sieradz Olimpia Elblag
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Olimpia Elblag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warta Sieradz VS Olimpia Elblag
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Sieradz
(Home) 19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
15 Aug
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
01 Aug
Warta Sieradz
1 : 2 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 4
Olimpia Elblag
(Away) 19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
15 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
25 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Zabkovia Zabki | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Pelikan | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Plock II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 15 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Swit Mazowiecki | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19:23 | 11 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:25 | 7 |
| 16 | Troszyn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:23 | 6 |
| 17 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 5 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
