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Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Matus E.
25' Event
Swedrowski T.
33' Event
Pietrzak S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Zambrow finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Warta Sieradz
35%
Draws
32%
Olimpia Zambrow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warta Sieradz come out ahead of Olimpia Zambrow on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Warta Sieradz's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 11%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Olimpia Zambrow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrow
2:2
May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Warta Sieradz
1:2
Oct 14, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrow
0:2
May 24, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrow
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Warta Sieradz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Swedrowski T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pietrzak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Matus E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piekut T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 35 / 100
Olimpia Zambrow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Olimpia Zambrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Olimpia Zambrow let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Warta Sieradz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Olimpia Zambrow
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Zambrow

(Away)
11 Oct
Olimpia Zambrow
3 : 0
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)