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Warta Sieradz vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz host Plock II in the III Liga - Group I. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Warta Sieradz have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Plock II's 1.69 scored and 1.56 conceded. Past meetings favor Plock II slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.94) back Warta Sieradz to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Warta Sieradz
30%
Draws
33%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warta Sieradz come out ahead of Plock II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Warta Sieradz a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Plock II
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Plock II
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Warta Sieradz
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Warta Sieradz
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Plock II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 47 / 100
Plock II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Plock II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Plock II
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

Plock II

(Away)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)