Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Plock II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sojka A.
31'
Slesicki D.
87' Event
Lodzinski F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Warta Sieradz
20%
Draws
40%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz have won more games recently than Plock II.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 11%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Plock II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Plock II
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Warta Sieradz
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Warta Sieradz
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Plock II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sojka A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Lodzinski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 35 / 100
Plock II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Plock II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Warta Sieradz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Plock II
2 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1
Warta Sieradz
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4
Zabkovia Zabki
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Plock II

(Away)
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)