Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Warta Sieradz

1 - 1

Plock II

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Sojka A.

31'

Slesicki D.

87'

Lodzinski F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Warta Sieradz

30%

Draws

34%

Plock II

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Warta Sieradz have won more games recently than Plock II.
36% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 16%

Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Warta Sieradz	Plock II
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	16	13
Draws	8	9
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Plock II

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs Warta Sieradz

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Mar 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs Warta Sieradz

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Plock II

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sojka A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Lodzinski F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 36 / 100

Plock II 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Warta Sieradz Plock II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Plock II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Warta Sieradz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Plock II

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15