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Warta Sieradz vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz host Suwalki in the III Liga - Group I. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Warta Sieradz have averaged 1.91 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Suwalki's 1.74 scored and 1.23 conceded. Past meetings favor Warta Sieradz slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.69) back Warta Sieradz to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Warta Sieradz
30%
Draws
39%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz average 1.91 goals a game right now, well clear of Suwalki's 1.74.
  • Model gives Warta Sieradz a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Warta Sieradz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 13%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Suwalki
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.91 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Suwalki
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Warta Sieradz
1:2
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Suwalki
3:2
Nov 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Warta Sieradz
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 35 / 100
Suwalki 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Suwalki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Suwalki let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Warta Sieradz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Suwalki
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 7

Suwalki

(Away)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)