Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ciach A.
31' Event
Ruiz Benitez E. L.
43' Event
Hanauer Ribas D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Warta Sieradz and Troszyn finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troszyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Warta Sieradz
20%
Draws
38%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz haven't matched Troszyn's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 20%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Troszyn
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanauer Ribas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciach A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz Benitez E. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 42 / 100
Troszyn 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Troszyn let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Troszyn
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Warta Sieradz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4
Elana Torun
08 Jul
Warta Sieradz
1 : 0
LKS Lodz II
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
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Troszyn

(Away)
18 Jul
Olimpia Zambrow
0 : 3
Troszyn
30 May
GKS Wikielec
2 : 1
Troszyn
23 May
Troszyn
0 : 2
LKS Lomza
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
13 May
Troszyn
4 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)