Sport Picks
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ciach A.
31'
31'
Ruiz Benitez E. L.
43'
43'
Hanauer Ribas D.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Warta Sieradz and Troszyn finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troszyn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Troszyn have managed 1.93 goals a game lately — Warta Sieradz are scoring more at 1.97.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 17%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warta Sieradz | Troszyn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz
1:4
Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanauer Ribas D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Troszyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciach A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruiz Benitez E. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warta Sieradz 41 / 100
Troszyn 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warta Sieradz Troszyn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).
Troszyn let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warta Sieradz VS Troszyn
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Warta Sieradz
(Home) 19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
15 Aug
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
01 Aug
Warta Sieradz
1 : 2 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 4
Troszyn
(Away) 26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3 KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
23 Aug
Pelikan
1 : 1 Troszyn
14 Aug
Suwalki
1 : 0 Troszyn
02 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
5 : 1 Troszyn
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
