Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Borcuch M.
35' Event
Mielczarek P.
65' Event
Lis M.

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Warta Sieradz
6%
Draws
4%
Ursus Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz have won more games recently than Ursus Warszawa.
  • Warta Sieradz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 19%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Ursus Warszawa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa
4:0
Sep 3, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Warta Sieradz
1:1
Apr 28, 2018 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa
0:0
Sep 16, 2017 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Warta Sieradz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Borcuch M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mielczarek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 85 / 100
Ursus Warszawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Ursus Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (29 games).

Ursus Warszawa has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Warta Sieradz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Warta Sieradz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4
Elana Torun
08 Jul
Warta Sieradz
1 : 0
LKS Lodz II
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

Ursus Warszawa

(Away)
15 Feb
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1
Ursus Warszawa
08 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
4 : 1
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
01 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
2 : 6
Victoria Sulejowek
20 Jul
LKS Lomza
0 : 0
Ursus Warszawa
17 Feb
Warta Sieradz
2 : 0
Ursus Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LKS Lodz II34208676:4168
2Legionowo341810671:4364
3Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki341810662:3964
4Swit Mazowiecki34187966:4561
5Legia II341510966:4855
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341510951:4355
7Unia Skierniewice341581141:3853
8MKS Mlawa341571283:7152
9Jagiellonia II3413101165:5449
10Pilica Bialobrzegi341291353:5545
11Pelikan341291356:5245
12Sokol Ostroda341061849:7136
13Olimpia Zambrow34991640:6336
14Bron Radom34981760:7635
15Warta Sieradz348101639:5334
16Concordia Elblag34891738:6133
17Blonianka Blonie34862035:6830
18Ursus Warszawa345101942:7225
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)