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Warta Sieradz vs Widzew Lodz II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz play Widzew Lodz II in the III Liga - Group I 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Warta Sieradz averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Widzew Lodz II averaged 2 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Warta Sieradz won 1, Widzew Lodz II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Warta Sieradz and 1.38 for Widzew Lodz II. This points to a Warta Sieradz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Warta Sieradz
39%
Draws
31%
Widzew Lodz II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Widzew Lodz II.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 17%
Widzew Lodz II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Widzew Lodz II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 2
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Widzew Lodz II
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Widzew Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sojka A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Widzew Lodz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltysinski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodziejczyk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 30 / 100
Widzew Lodz II 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Widzew Lodz II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Widzew Lodz II let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Widzew Lodz II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Widzew Lodz II
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315