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Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Swiatek J.
54' Event
Muniak S.
63' Event
Glowala F.

AI Match Summary

Zabkovia Zabki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zabkovia Zabki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Warta Sieradz
30%
Draws
33%
Zabkovia Zabki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Zabkovia Zabki.
  • Warta Sieradz are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Zabkovia Zabki have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Zabkovia Zabki
0:4
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Zabkovia Zabki
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Warta Sieradz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Swiatek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muniak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 34 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Zabkovia Zabki has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Zabkovia Zabki
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)