Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W

USA USA

NWSL Women Audi Field
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Patterson A.
35' Event
Kouassi R.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
van Zanten K. In: Faasse K.
Out: van Zanten K.

AI Match Summary

Washington Spirit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Washington Spirit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Washington Spirit W
22%
Draws
18%
Houston Dash W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Washington Spirit W lately — more wins on the board than Houston Dash W.
  • Model gives Washington Spirit W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Washington Spirit W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 68%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Houston Dash W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W
4:0
Mar 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W
3:0
Apr 13, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodman T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Houston Dash W Compare

Top Goalscorer Faasse K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 68 / 100
Houston Dash W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Houston Dash W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Houston Dash W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Washington Spirit W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Washington Spirit W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Houston Dash W
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
6Utah Royals W1473421:1624
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1443717:2315
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267