Sport Picks
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
38'
38'
Barcenas M.
57'
57'
Sub
Ludmila In: Byars T.
Out: Ludmila
60'
60'
Godfrey L. E.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Washington Spirit W and San Diego Wave W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Diego Wave W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 15%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Washington Spirit W | San Diego Wave W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W
0:1
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Jun 23, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Sep 2, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Washington Spirit W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
San Diego Wave W Compare
Top Goalscorer Godfrey L. E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Washington Spirit W 31 / 100
San Diego Wave W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Washington Spirit W San Diego Wave W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Washington Spirit W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: San Diego Wave W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Washington Spirit W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Washington Spirit W VS San Diego Wave W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Washington Spirit W
(Home) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
23 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Orlando Pride W
08 Aug
Washington Spirit W
3 : 4 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 3
San Diego Wave W
(Away) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
08 Aug
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
02 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
