Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wasilkow vs GKS Belchatow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Kuprianowicz C.
69' Event
Poplawski K.
82' Event
Porebski T.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and GKS Belchatow finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wasilkow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Wasilkow
39%
Draws
30%
GKS Belchatow
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • GKS Belchatow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 13%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow GKS Belchatow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs GKS Belchatow
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Wasilkow
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuprianowicz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porebski T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Poplawski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 31 / 100
GKS Belchatow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow GKS Belchatow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Belchatow let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

GKS Belchatow lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS GKS Belchatow
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wasilkow

(Home)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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GKS Belchatow

(Away)
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)