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Stadium Background

Watanga vs BEA Mountain

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Watanga and BEA Mountain finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Watanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Watanga
20%
Draws
46%
BEA Mountain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BEA Mountain come out ahead of Watanga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans BEA Mountain's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Watanga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Watanga Clean Sheet 12%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watanga BEA Mountain
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.43 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 LFA First Division
Watanga vs BEA Mountain
4:2
Dec 2, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Watanga
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 LFA First Division
Watanga vs BEA Mountain
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Watanga
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 LFA First Division
Watanga vs BEA Mountain
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watanga 14 / 100
BEA Mountain 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watanga BEA Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Watanga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Watanga found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

BEA Mountain let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Watanga VS BEA Mountain
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Watanga

(Home)
24 May
Heaven Eleven
3 : 3
Watanga
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
13 May
FC Fassell
0 : 0
Watanga
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
12 Apr
Watanga
2 : 1
Borough FC
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BEA Mountain

(Away)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)