Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Amond P.
25'
25'
Sub
Grogan P. In: Cleary C.
Out: Grogan P.
25'
25'
Tollett C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athlone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Athlone lately — more wins on the board than Waterford.
- Win probability leans Waterford's way, sitting at 36%.
- Athlone arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Athlone, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterford | Athlone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 FAI Cup
Waterford vs Athlone
2:1
Aug 16, 2024 FAI Cup
Waterford vs Athlone
2:3
Oct 28, 2023 Division 1
Waterford vs Athlone
3:1
Oct 24, 2023 Division 1
Athlone vs Waterford
1:1
Sep 1, 2023 Division 1
Waterford vs Athlone
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waterford Compare
Top Goalscorer Amond P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Couto B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Athlone Compare
Top Goalscorer Tollett C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waterford 36 / 100
Athlone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waterford Athlone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Waterford scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Athlone has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Waterford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Waterford VS Athlone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Waterford
(Home) 18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1 Athlone
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1 Bohemians
Page 1 of 4
Athlone
(Away) 18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0 Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2 Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1 Bray
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2 Athlone
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2 Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Athlone
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2 Athlone
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1 Athlone
03 Aug
Cork City
3 : 2 Athlone
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
