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Waterford vs Drogheda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterford host Drogheda in the Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Waterford at 1.66 goals for, 1.48 against; Drogheda at 1.36 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Waterford have won 2 to Drogheda's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.00, favoring Waterford. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Waterford
20%
Draws
42%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waterford lately — more wins on the board than Drogheda.
  • Waterford are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford Drogheda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Waterford
3:3
May 18, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Drogheda
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Waterford
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs Drogheda
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Waterford
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 40 / 100
Drogheda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterford scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Drogheda has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Waterford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS Drogheda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterford

(Home)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

Drogheda

(Away)
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
3 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)