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Waterford vs Shelbourne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Coote A.
43'
Houston J.
48' Event
Lonergan T.
Assist: Amond P.

AI Match Summary

Waterford in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Waterford
30%
Draws
33%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waterford lately — more wins on the board than Shelbourne.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford Shelbourne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Shelbourne
1:0
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Waterford
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Shelbourne
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Waterford
2:1
Jun 23, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs Shelbourne
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonergan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shelbourne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 31 / 100
Shelbourne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford Shelbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Waterford found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Waterford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS Shelbourne
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterford

(Home)
09 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 2
Waterford
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Shelbourne

(Away)
09 Oct
Shelbourne
5 : 1
Sligo Rovers
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)