Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watergraafsmeer vs Excelsior 31

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
ter Haar S.
47' Event
van der Veldt H.
76' Event
Kaars D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Watergraafsmeer
20%
Draws
57%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior 31 have won more games recently than Watergraafsmeer.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior 31 taking it.
  • Excelsior 31 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer Excelsior 31
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs Excelsior 31
2:2
Jun 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Watergraafsmeer
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Veldt H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaars D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer ter Haar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seppenwoolde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 18 / 100
Excelsior 31 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watergraafsmeer found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Excelsior 31's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Watergraafsmeer remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS Excelsior 31
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
04 Jun
Excelsior 31
1 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior 31

(Away)
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1
Excelsior 31
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kampong 5
Ajax (Am) 2
VV SJC 2
Staphorst 6
Flevo Boys 1
Excelsior 31 8
Heino 0
Watergraafsmeer 1
SV Poortugaal 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
RKAVV Leidschendam 1
Groene Ster 2
Roosendaal 5
OJC Rosmalen 3
SV Orion 2
Xerxes DZB 3
Final
Kampong 2
Staphorst 4
Excelsior 31 3
Watergraafsmeer 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3
Groene Ster 5
Roosendaal 5
Xerxes DZB 2