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Watergraafsmeer vs Heino Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Amakodo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Watergraafsmeer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Watergraafsmeer
30%
Draws
16%
Heino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Watergraafsmeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Watergraafsmeer come out ahead of Heino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Watergraafsmeer's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Watergraafsmeer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Watergraafsmeer, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 15%
Heino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer Heino
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 8 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.41 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs Heino
1:0
May 28, 2025 Derde Divisie
Heino vs Watergraafsmeer
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Amakodo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Heino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 39 / 100
Heino 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer Heino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watergraafsmeer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watergraafsmeer found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Heino let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Watergraafsmeer has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Heino has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS Heino
1.63 Goals Scored 0.6
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.4
100% Over 1.5 40%
88% Over 2.5 20%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

Heino

(Away)
31 May
TEC
2 : 0
Heino
27 May
Heino
0 : 0
TEC
03 Sept
Heino
3 : 4
Groene Ster
01 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
1 : 0
Heino
28 May
Heino
0 : 0
Watergraafsmeer

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kampong 5
Ajax (Am) 2
VV SJC 2
Staphorst 6
Flevo Boys 1
Excelsior 31 8
Heino 0
Watergraafsmeer 1
SV Poortugaal 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
RKAVV Leidschendam 1
Groene Ster 2
Roosendaal 5
OJC Rosmalen 3
SV Orion 2
Xerxes DZB 3
Final
Kampong 2
Staphorst 4
Excelsior 31 3
Watergraafsmeer 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3
Groene Ster 5
Roosendaal 5
Xerxes DZB 2