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Watergraafsmeer vs TEC Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
5 - 4
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Meeuwsen K.
32' Event
37' Event
de Beer J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-4. The second leg ended 5-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Watergraafsmeer
20%
Draws
47%
TEC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TEC come out ahead of Watergraafsmeer on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on TEC taking it.
  • TEC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Watergraafsmeer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%
TEC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer TEC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 KNVB Beker
Watergraafsmeer vs TEC
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

TEC Compare

Top Goalscorer Meeuwsen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Beer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 10 / 100
TEC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer TEC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TEC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Watergraafsmeer found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Watergraafsmeer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS TEC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

TEC

(Away)
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4
TEC
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5
TEC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
TBD -
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Barendrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
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Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
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Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
TBD -
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TBD -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
TBD -
TBD -
Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
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TBD -
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
TBD -
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
TBD -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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