Sport Picks

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Waterhouse vs Cavalier

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Allen D.
79' Event
Ainsworth C.

AI Match Summary

Cavalier in this Premier League tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Waterhouse
20%
Draws
38%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavalier average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Waterhouse's 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Waterhouse's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Cavalier, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 18%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Cavalier
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:2
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:0
Sep 9, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ainsworth C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 41 / 100
Cavalier 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterhouse found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Waterhouse remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cavalier has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Cavalier
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
28 Apr
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Cavalier

(Away)
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Portmore5
Racing United3
Montego Bay-
TBD-
Waterhouse2
Cavalier4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant3
Portmore4
Montego Bay1
Cavalier2
Final
Portmore3
Cavalier2
Mount Pleasant3
Montego Bay2