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Waterhouse vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Murray C.
61' Event
Bicknell A.
72' Event
Campbell K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Waterhouse and Chapelton finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Waterhouse
6%
Draws
4%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapelton haven't matched Waterhouse's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Waterhouse taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 16%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Chapelton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Chapelton
3:0
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Waterhouse
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Chapelton
3:0
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Waterhouse
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Chapelton
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bicknell A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chapelton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 84 / 100
Chapelton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterhouse's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chapelton let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Waterhouse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Chapelton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
28 Apr
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 6

Chapelton

(Away)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)