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Watford U21 vs Charlton U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Watford U21 Logo

Watford U21

3 - 2
FT
Charlton U21 Logo

Charlton U21

Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Nabizada A.
72' Event
Dixon K.
81' Event
Mitchell Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Watford U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Watford U21
35%
Draws
34%
Charlton U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Watford U21 come out ahead of Charlton U21 on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Watford U21 taking it.
  • Watford U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Watford U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Watford U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Charlton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford U21 Charlton U21
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.45 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Professional Development League
Watford U21 vs Charlton U21
3:1
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League Cup
Watford U21 vs Charlton U21
3:2
Oct 21, 2025 Professional Development League
Charlton U21 vs Watford U21
3:1
Mar 7, 2025 Professional Development League
Charlton U21 vs Watford U21
2:1
Sep 20, 2024 Professional Development League
Watford U21 vs Charlton U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watford U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabizada A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lawson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.24

Charlton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dixon K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford U21 65 / 100
Charlton U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford U21 Charlton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watford U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watford U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Charlton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Watford U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watford U21 VS Charlton U21
2.83 Goals Scored 2
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Watford U21

(Home)
24 Apr
Everton U21
3 : 2
Watford U21
20 Apr
Watford U21
3 : 1
Charlton U21
14 Apr
Huddersfield U21
1 : 1
Watford U21
10 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Watford U21
27 Mar
Watford U21
6 : 0
Coventry U21
Page 1 of 7

Charlton U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Sheffield Wed U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
01 Sept
Charlton U21
2 : 2
Wigan U21
26 Aug
Stockport U21
1 : 2
Charlton U21
23 Aug
Barnsley U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2