Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watford U23 vs Colchester U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Vicarage Road, Watford
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Price F.
52' Event
Cukur T.
62' Event
Dobra A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Colchester U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchester U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Watford U23
35%
Draws
26%
Colchester U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Watford U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Colchester U23 have won more games recently than Watford U23.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Watford U23 taking it.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Watford U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford U23 Colchester U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2022 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Watford U23
0:0
Feb 8, 2022 Professional Development League
Watford U23 vs Colchester U23
1:2
Jan 18, 2021 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Watford U23
2:2
Sep 14, 2020 Professional Development League
Watford U23 vs Colchester U23
0:1
Jan 27, 2020 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Watford U23
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watford U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cukur T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Colchester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Price F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford U23 58 / 100
Colchester U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford U23 Colchester U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watford U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchester U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Watford U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Watford U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watford U23 VS Colchester U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Watford U23

(Home)
26 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 0
Watford U23
03 May
Watford U23
2 : 1
Barnsley U23
26 Apr
Watford U23
1 : 1
QPR U23
19 Apr
Coventry U23
4 : 2
Watford U23
11 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 0
Watford U23
Page 1 of 6

Colchester U23

(Away)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)