Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Docherty G.
34'
34'
Mendy N.
38'
38'
Clarke H.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Watford and Charlton finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Charlton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charlton come out ahead of Watford on wins alone.
- Charlton are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Watford Clean Sheet 12%
Charlton Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Watford | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Championship
Watford vs Charlton
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Championship
Charlton vs Watford
1:0
Jan 17, 2015 Championship
Watford vs Charlton
5:0
Sep 13, 2014 Championship
Charlton vs Watford
1:0
Apr 29, 2014 Championship
Charlton vs Watford
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Watford Compare
Top Goalscorer Irankunda N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Charlton Compare
Top Goalscorer Godden M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Watford 27 / 100
Charlton 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Watford Charlton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Watford scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Charlton conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Watford remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Watford VS Charlton
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Watford
(Home) 29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1 Fiorentina
25 Jul
Watford
3 : 0 Hansa Rostock
14 Jul
Barnet
2 : 2 Watford
11 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Watford
02 May
Watford
0 : 4 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1 Fiorentina
25 Jul
Watford
3 : 0 Hansa Rostock
02 May
Watford
0 : 4 Coventry
18 Apr
Watford
0 : 2 Sheffield Utd
06 Apr
Watford
1 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 3
Charlton
(Away) 01 Aug
Reading
3 : 0 Charlton
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Reading
3 : 0 Charlton
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
