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Watford W vs Keynsham Town W

England England

Women's National League South 2019/2020
Watford W Logo

Watford W

7 - 0
FT
Keynsham Town W Logo

Keynsham Town W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Watford W play Keynsham Town W in the Women's National League South 2019/2020. Watford W are favorites here. Recently, Watford W averaged 3.81 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Keynsham Town W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. In past meetings, Watford W won 4, Keynsham Town W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 1, 2019 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Watford W and 1.13 for Keynsham Town W. This points to a Watford W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Watford W
15%
Draws
20%
Keynsham Town W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Watford W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Watford W picked up more points recently compared to Keynsham Town W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Watford W Clean Sheet 21%
Keynsham Town W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford W Keynsham Town W
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 29 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 3.81 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.84 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2019 Women’s FA Cup
Keynsham Town W vs Watford W
0:3
Nov 17, 2019 Women's National League South
Watford W vs Keynsham Town W
7:0
Mar 8, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Watford W vs Keynsham Town W
2:1
Apr 29, 2007 Women's National League South
Keynsham Town W vs Watford W
2:1
Oct 29, 2006 Women's National League South
Watford W vs Keynsham Town W
7:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford W 63 / 100
Keynsham Town W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford W Keynsham Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watford W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Watford W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Watford W attacking → ← attacking Keynsham Town W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watford W scored in 97% of their last 37 games.

Keynsham Town W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Watford W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Keynsham Town W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

91 Points in last 5 28
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00