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Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Slaby P.
67' Event
Retlewski D.
81' Event
Magdziarz K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Wda Swiecie and Notec Czarnkow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wda Swiecie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wda Swiecie
20%
Draws
51%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notec Czarnkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Notec Czarnkow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 16%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow
2:1
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Wda Swiecie
3:0
May 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Wda Swiecie
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Slaby P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retlewski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Magdziarz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 19 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notec Czarnkow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Notec Czarnkow conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Wda Swiecie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wda Swiecie VS Notec Czarnkow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wda Swiecie

(Home)
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 6

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)