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Wda Swiecie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Zmudz K.
70' Event
Szczerba K.
77' Event
Zmudz K.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Wda Swiecie
30%
Draws
51%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than Wda Swiecie.
  • Win probability leans Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:4
May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:2
Oct 10, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Wda Swiecie
5:1
May 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Wda Swiecie
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Zmudz K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Szczerba K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 10 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Wda Swiecie stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wda Swiecie VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Wda Swiecie

(Home)
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)