Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Mullarkey T. In: Feeney M.
Out: Mullarkey T.
34'
34'
Ajiboye D.
Assist: Kelly G.
58'
58'
Sub
Ajiboye D. In: Wearne S.
Out: Ajiboye D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wealdstone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Carlisle have won more games recently than Wealdstone.
- 15% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle taking it.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Carlisle here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 15%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wealdstone | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 National League
Wealdstone vs Carlisle
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Wealdstone
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Wealdstone vs Carlisle
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wealdstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Henry A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajiboye D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wealdstone 27 / 100
Carlisle 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wealdstone Carlisle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carlisle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wealdstone scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Carlisle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Wealdstone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wealdstone VS Carlisle
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wealdstone
(Home) 26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0 Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1 Halifax
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3 Wealdstone
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0 Gateshead
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1 Halifax
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0 Stoke City U21
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4 Kidderminster
28 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 4
Carlisle
(Away) 26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
28 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 1 Carlisle
15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1 Carlisle
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3 Carlisle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Southend | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:16 | 20 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Harrogate | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Worthing FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Sutton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Forest Green | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 14 | Halifax | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Woking | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Barrow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 18 | Boston United | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:28 | 8 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:26 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
