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Wealdstone vs Gateshead Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League Grosvenor Vale, London
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Olomola O.
Assist: Norris L.
33' Event
Norris L.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Holgate H. In: Issaka F.
Out: Holgate H.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Wealdstone and Gateshead finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wealdstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wealdstone
15%
Draws
0%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wealdstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wealdstone come out ahead of Gateshead on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Wealdstone taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wealdstone Gateshead
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.53 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
Wealdstone vs Gateshead
4:0
Mar 17, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Wealdstone
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 National League
Wealdstone vs Gateshead
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 National League
Wealdstone vs Gateshead
0:4
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Wealdstone
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wealdstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Olomola O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wells-Morrison J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Gateshead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wealdstone 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wealdstone Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wealdstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Gateshead has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Wealdstone scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Wealdstone VS Gateshead
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wealdstone

(Home)
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 7

Gateshead

(Away)
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
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