Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wealdstone vs Harrogate

England England

National League Grosvenor Vale, London
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Dolaghan B.
39' Event
Obiero M.
Assist: Norris L.
45'
Sub
Newton J. In: Smith K.
Out: Newton J.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Wealdstone and Harrogate finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harrogate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wealdstone
15%
Draws
42%
Harrogate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wealdstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harrogate come out ahead of Wealdstone on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wealdstone's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 15%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wealdstone Harrogate
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League
Wealdstone vs Harrogate
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wealdstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Obiero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Harrogate Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolaghan B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Payne L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wealdstone 48 / 100
Harrogate 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wealdstone Harrogate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wealdstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wealdstone scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Harrogate has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Wealdstone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wealdstone VS Harrogate
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wealdstone

(Home)
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

Harrogate

(Away)
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1
Tamworth
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2
Harrogate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
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