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Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Grosvenor Vale, London
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Newton J.
20'
Sub
Martin T. In: Makavore P.
Out: Martin T.
27'
Mundle-Smith J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. The second leg ended 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Wealdstone
15%
Draws
7%
Stoke City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wealdstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wealdstone come out ahead of Stoke City U21 on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Wealdstone taking it.
  • Wealdstone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wealdstone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 16%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wealdstone Stoke City U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.59 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wealdstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Waweru W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kaunda A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stoke City U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wealdstone 84 / 100
Stoke City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wealdstone Stoke City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wealdstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wealdstone found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Stoke City U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Solid form: Wealdstone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wealdstone VS Stoke City U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wealdstone

(Home)
03 Nov
Wealdstone
3 : 2
Derby U21
31 Oct
Wealdstone
3 : 2
Southend
27 Oct
Wealdstone
2 : 3
Solihull Moors
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1
Wealdstone
20 Oct
Wealdstone
1 : 0
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U21

(Away)
03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
31 Oct
Leeds U21
2 : 2
Stoke City U21
23 Oct
Manchester City U21
4 : 3
Stoke City U21
20 Oct
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland U21
16 Oct
Stoke City U21
1 : 2
Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 4 3 0 1 16:8 9
2 Scunthorpe 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 10:5 8
4 Wolves U21 4 3 0 1 5:6 7
5 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 5:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 6:7 5
7 Derby U21 4 1 0 3 9:11 5
8 Stoke City U21 4 0 0 4 3:17 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Ipswich U21 4 3 0 1 8:5 8
3 Hornchurch 4 2 0 2 7:3 7
4 Braintree 4 2 0 2 8:7 7
5 Norwich U21 4 2 0 2 6:9 5
6 Worthing FC 4 1 0 3 4:5 4
7 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 5:7 4
8 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:13 4
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 3 0 1 15:5 10
2 Middlesbrough U21 4 3 0 1 17:9 9
3 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Tamworth 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
5 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 Hartlepool 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Woking 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Sutton 4 3 0 1 4:3 8
4 West Brom U21 4 2 0 2 3:4 5
5 Birmingham U21 4 2 0 2 5:9 5
6 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 4
7 Boston United 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 0 4 3:7 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)