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Stadium Background

Weiden vs ATSV Erlangen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Weiden in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Weiden
20%
Draws
16%
ATSV Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Weiden have won more games recently than ATSV Erlangen.
  • Weiden are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weiden ATSV Erlangen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs ATSV Erlangen
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Weiden
2:2
Apr 11, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs ATSV Erlangen
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Weiden
2:0
Apr 14, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs ATSV Erlangen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiden 65 / 100
ATSV Erlangen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weiden ATSV Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weiden found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

ATSV Erlangen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: ATSV Erlangen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Weiden VS ATSV Erlangen
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Weiden

(Home)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
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ATSV Erlangen

(Away)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)