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Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Regensburg in this Oberliga Bayern Nord matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Weiden
35%
Draws
40%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Weiden lately — more wins on the board than Fortuna Regensburg.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Regensburg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weiden Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.6 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:2
May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden
4:2
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiden 18 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weiden Fortuna Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Weiden scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Fortuna Regensburg conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Weiden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Weiden VS Fortuna Regensburg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Weiden

(Home)
10 Oct
Wurzburger FV
1 : 1
Weiden
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
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Fortuna Regensburg

(Away)
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
3 Gebenbach 14 8 2 4 23:17 26
4 Bamberg 14 7 4 3 24:13 25
5 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
6 Bayern Hof 14 6 5 3 31:23 23
7 Regensburg II 14 6 5 3 28:22 23
8 Aschaffenburg 14 6 3 5 26:20 21
9 Fortuna Regensburg 14 6 3 5 31:22 21
10 Stadeln 14 5 5 4 17:20 20
11 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
12 DJK Ammerthal 14 4 3 7 18:27 15
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 14 3 4 7 21:30 13
15 Grossbardorf 14 4 1 9 16:26 13
16 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
17 Nordlingen 14 2 4 8 14:31 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)