Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Weiden vs Gebenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Weiden host Gebenbach in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Weiden have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Gebenbach's 1.94 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Weiden slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.25, favoring Gebenbach. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Weiden
15%
Draws
45%
Gebenbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gebenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gebenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weiden Gebenbach
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 13 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Weiden
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Gebenbach
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Weiden
1:3
Aug 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Gebenbach
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Gebenbach
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiden 34 / 100
Gebenbach 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weiden Gebenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gebenbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Weiden's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Gebenbach let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Weiden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Weiden VS Gebenbach
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Weiden

(Home)
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
29 Aug
Weiden
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
22 Aug
Bayern Hof
1 : 3
Weiden
18 Aug
Weiden
2 : 7
TSV Kornburg
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Gebenbach

(Away)
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4
Bayern Hof
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Gebenbach
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
22 Aug
DJK Ammerthal
1 : 3
Gebenbach
18 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 1
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Gebenbach 10 7 1 2 18:10 22
3 Bamberg 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
4 Wurzburger FV 10 6 1 3 21:14 19
5 Bayern Hof 10 5 3 2 21:15 18
6 Regensburg II 10 5 2 3 21:17 17
7 TSV Kornburg 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
8 Fortuna Regensburg 10 5 1 4 24:17 16
9 Aschaffenburg 10 4 1 5 20:16 13
10 Stadeln 10 3 4 3 14:16 13
11 Neudrossenfeld 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
12 Weiden 10 3 2 5 17:22 11
13 Grossbardorf 10 3 1 6 12:20 10
14 Ingolstadt II 10 2 3 5 18:23 9
15 Nordlingen 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 DJK Ammerthal 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
17 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 10 2 2 6 10:24 8
18 ASV Neumarkt 10 1 2 7 9:20 5
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)