Sport Picks
Welling vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 
Match Events
15'
15'
O’Keefe Z.
41'
41'
Kashket S.
61'
61'
Reynolds J.
AI Match Summary
Welling in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Welling.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wingate & Finchley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Welling have won more games recently than Wingate & Finchley.
- Win probability leans Welling's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Welling here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Welling Clean Sheet 13%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welling | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Wingate & Finchley
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Welling
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Wingate & Finchley
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Welling Compare
Top Goalscorer O’Keefe Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reynolds J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Wingate & Finchley Compare
Top Goalscorer Kashket S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welling 75 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welling Wingate & Finchley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Welling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Welling found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Wingate & Finchley let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Welling went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Welling VS Wingate & Finchley
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Welling
(Home) 26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
4 : 1 Welling
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0 Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
08 Sept
Welling
2 : 1 Faversham
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0 Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
08 Sept
Welling
2 : 1 Faversham
29 Aug
Welling
1 : 0 Ramsgate
Page 1 of 3
Wingate & Finchley
(Away) 26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
08 Sept
Felixstowe & Walton
0 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dartford | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Welling | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Carshalton | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Lewes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Leatherhead | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 8 | St. Albans | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Ramsgate | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Eastbourne Borough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Cray Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Chatham | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Aveley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Brentwood | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:26 | 9 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Whyteleafe | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 20 | Whitehawk | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 5 |
| 21 | Three Bridges | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16:28 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 4 |
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
