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Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic host Auckland United in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Wellington Olympic at 2.33 goals for, 1.6 against; Auckland United at 2.03 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Wellington Olympic have won 4 to Auckland United's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.69, favoring Wellington Olympic. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Wellington Olympic
30%
Draws
37%
Auckland United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auckland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Auckland United taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • Wellington Olympic have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 13%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Auckland United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.33 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 National League
Auckland United vs Wellington Olympic
0:3
Sep 7, 2025 Chatham Cup
Auckland United vs Wellington Olympic
2:4
Oct 21, 2023 National League
Auckland United vs Wellington Olympic
1:3
Nov 5, 2022 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 19 / 100
Auckland United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Auckland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Auckland United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Wellington Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Auckland United
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2
Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

Auckland United

(Away)
10 Oct
Auckland FC 2
2 : 2
Auckland United
04 Oct
Auckland United
7 : 1
Napier City
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
26 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
2 : 1
Auckland United
04 Jul
Auckland United
3 : 1
Cambridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Napier City 3 1 1 1 4:9 4
8 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
9 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
10 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)