Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Wakefield Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic play Christchurch in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wellington Olympic averaged 2.61 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Christchurch averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Wellington Olympic won 2, Christchurch won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 21, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Wellington Olympic and 1.44 for Christchurch. This points to a Wellington Olympic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
38%
Christchurch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Olympic picked up more points recently compared to Christchurch.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Christchurch Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Christchurch
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.61 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch
2:3
Nov 4, 2023 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch
5:2
Nov 19, 2022 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzoukis G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Christchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevens J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osawa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 46 / 100
Christchurch 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Christchurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wellington Olympic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wellington Olympic attacking → ← attacking Christchurch

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Christchurch let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Wellington Olympic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Christchurch lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 53
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237